ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?48%▲9.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?89%▲14.5Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?42%▲20.5LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?49%▼4.5LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?26%▼3.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?53%▼6.0Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?57%▲5.4Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?74%▲5.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?55%▲3.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?45%▲5.2Netanyahu out by end of 2026?54%▲3.0Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027?8%▼17.2US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?14%▼3.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?86%▼2.0Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/9?31%▼19.0Will OpenAI release a new model before October?76%▲25.8

Event · resolves around 2026-09-09

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $118.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?Polymarket0%0.0 pts67Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?Polymarket100%+0.1 pts66Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.