ProbCastOdds Reliability

⌘K

Checking…

Hot Markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?48%▲9.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0%▼7.7 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?1%▼82.7 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?52%▼8.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?28%▲1.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?96%▲9.3 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?18%▼10.0 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?30%▲11.0 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?79%▲62.5 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43%▲3.2 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?17%▼15.2 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?59%▼7.5 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?37%▼3.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?85%▲6.5 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?18%▼2.0 Will I regret purchasing a Dyson camerajet? ($500USD Toothbrush)65%▼15.2

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?48%▲9.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0%▼7.7 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?1%▼82.7 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?52%▼8.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?28%▲1.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?96%▲9.3 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?18%▼10.0 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?30%▲11.0 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?79%▲62.5 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43%▲3.2 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?17%▼15.2 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?59%▼7.5 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?37%▼3.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?85%▲6.5 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?18%▼2.0 Will I regret purchasing a Dyson camerajet? ($500USD Toothbrush)65%▼15.2

Event · resolves around 2026-09-04

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $167.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?	Polymarket	Crypto	99%	+0.8 pts	$89.8K	77	55	Confirmed move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?	Polymarket	Crypto	98%	+0.9 pts	$78.2K	77	59	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.