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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?37%▼11.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?8%▼10.8Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?67%▼13.3Fed rate hike in 2026?54%▼10.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?63%▲14.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?51%▼7.0Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?5%▲2.8Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?66%▼4.5Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?57%▼27.9Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?78%▼6.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?89%▲10.5Iran leadership change by September 30?12%▲6.0Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?46%▼10.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?56%▼2.0Iran leadership change by August 31?4%▲0.8US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?90%▲8.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?37%▼11.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?8%▼10.8Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?67%▼13.3Fed rate hike in 2026?54%▼10.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?63%▲14.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?51%▼7.0Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?5%▲2.8Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?66%▼4.5Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?57%▼27.9Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?78%▼6.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?89%▲10.5Iran leadership change by September 30?12%▲6.0Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?46%▼10.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?56%▼2.0Iran leadership change by August 31?4%▲0.8US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?90%▲8.5

Event · resolves around 2026-08-08

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

3 related contracts across Polymarket · $176.2K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?PolymarketCrypto100%-0.2 pts$67.6K7966Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?PolymarketCrypto94%0.0 pts$54.7K7665Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?PolymarketCrypto99%+0.2 pts$54K7865Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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