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Event · resolves around 2026-08-04
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $93.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | Polymarket | 1% | -0.2 pts | 63 | Developing |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4? | Polymarket | 100% | -0.2 pts | 43 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.