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Event · resolves around 2026-07-31
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $302.7K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | Polymarket | 6% | -8.2 pts | 63 | Real move |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | Polymarket | 24% | -17.0 pts | 59 | Real move |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.