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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?22%▼34.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?9%▼13.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?10%▲7.4 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?90%▲27.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%▲3.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?7%▼11.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?86%▼9.0 Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night?80%▲25.0 Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September?20%▼43.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?44%▼10.8 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?100%▲3.1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?0%▼0.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?54%▼2.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?10%▼3.0 By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth?15%▼35.3 Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week10%▼41.0

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?22%▼34.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?9%▼13.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?10%▲7.4 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?90%▲27.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%▲3.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?7%▼11.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?86%▼9.0 Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night?80%▲25.0 Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September?20%▼43.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?44%▼10.8 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?100%▲3.1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?0%▼0.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?54%▼2.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?10%▼3.0 By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth?15%▼35.3 Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week10%▼41.0

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?22%▼34.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?9%▼13.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?10%▲7.4 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?90%▲27.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%▲3.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?7%▼11.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?86%▼9.0 Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night?80%▲25.0 Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September?20%▼43.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?44%▼10.8 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?100%▲3.1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?0%▼0.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?54%▼2.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?10%▼3.0 By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth?15%▼35.3 Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week10%▼41.0

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?22%▼34.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?9%▼13.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?10%▲7.4 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?90%▲27.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%▲3.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?7%▼11.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?86%▼9.0 Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night?80%▲25.0 Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September?20%▼43.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?44%▼10.8 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?100%▲3.1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?0%▼0.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?54%▼2.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?10%▼3.0 By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth?15%▼35.3 Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week10%▼41.0

Event · resolves around 2026-07-29

Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2026

4 related contracts across Polymarket · $786.3K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+3.1 pts	$275.3K	83	58	Confirmed move
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	0.0 pts	$203.6K	83	70	Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?	Polymarket	Crypto	0%	-0.5 pts	$160.6K	81	55	Confirmed move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+0.2 pts	$146.8K	83	70	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.