Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night?
Last traded probability
79.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Awaiting resolution
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 79.6%
- Event deadline
- August 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night? The last traded Manifold probability before the deadline was 79.6%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 1, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 28, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 1, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 88d ago
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