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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?28%▲11.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?72%▼10.8 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?24%▼19.5 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?66%▲17.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?0%▼18.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?56%▲8.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?30%▼50.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?13%▼3.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?4%▼3.4 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?73%▼9.0 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?28%▲10.0 Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?18%▼31.8 Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?17%▼33.2 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?4%▼2.0 Will Steph Curry get traded before 2027?16%▼34.3 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?99%▲1.2

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?28%▲11.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?72%▼10.8 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?24%▼19.5 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?66%▲17.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?0%▼18.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?56%▲8.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?30%▼50.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?13%▼3.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?4%▼3.4 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?73%▼9.0 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?28%▲10.0 Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?18%▼31.8 Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?17%▼33.2 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?4%▼2.0 Will Steph Curry get traded before 2027?16%▼34.3 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?99%▲1.2

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Hot Markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?28%▲11.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?72%▼10.8 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?24%▼19.5 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?66%▲17.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?0%▼18.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?56%▲8.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?30%▼50.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?13%▼3.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?4%▼3.4 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?73%▼9.0 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?28%▲10.0 Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?18%▼31.8 Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?17%▼33.2 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?4%▼2.0 Will Steph Curry get traded before 2027?16%▼34.3 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?99%▲1.2

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?28%▲11.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?72%▼10.8 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?24%▼19.5 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?66%▲17.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?0%▼18.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?56%▲8.5 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?30%▼50.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?13%▼3.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?4%▼3.4 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?73%▼9.0 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?28%▲10.0 Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?18%▼31.8 Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?17%▼33.2 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?4%▼2.0 Will Steph Curry get traded before 2027?16%▼34.3 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?99%▲1.2

Event · resolves around 2026-07-27

Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2026

4 related contracts across Polymarket · $1.4M traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+1.0 pts	$429K	84	67	Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?	Polymarket	Crypto	0%	-18.4 pts	$421K	84	32	Likely noise
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?	Polymarket	Crypto	99%	+1.2 pts	$308.9K	81	55	Confirmed move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?	Polymarket	Crypto	0%	-0.5 pts	$276K	85	69	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.