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Event · resolves around 2026-08-12
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will July 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? | Manifold | 44% | +8.9 pts | 4 | Likely noise |
| Will July 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? | Manifold | 35% | -0.3 pts | 17 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.