Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?0%▼20.9Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?27%▼8.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?37%▲5.5Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?32%▼13.5Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?56%▼14.0Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?68%▼1.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?100%▲10.8Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?0%▼21.3Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?6%▼12.1Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?51%▼5.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?63%▲3.9Iran leadership change by December 31?13%▼2.0Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?54%▼10.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?21%▲3.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?10%▼4.2Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?24%▼5.2

Event · resolves around 2026-10-28

Yashar — election · Oct 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $57.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket59%+3.5 pts24Likely noise
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket42%+2.0 pts38Developing

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