US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?57%▼4.6US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?4%▼5.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?28%▼3.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?23%▲0.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?45%▲1.0Trump renames AI by September 30?18%▼8.0Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?23%▼15.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?49%▼1.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?6%▼2.5US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?33%▼8.5Will somebody use my Bilt referral link before end of Sep 2026?92%▲86.2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56%▲1.8US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?54%▼3.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?14%▼6.0Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17%▲2.0Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?3%▼4.6

Event · resolves around 2026-10-26

Republicans — election · Oct 2026

5 related contracts across Polymarket · $175.2K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Polymarket67%-3.0 pts78Developing
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Polymarket34%+3.0 pts58Developing
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Polymarket90%-2.5 pts47Developing
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Polymarket79%+0.2 pts55Developing
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Polymarket72%0.0 pts65Developing

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