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Event · resolves around 2026-09-30
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $56.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 65% | +4.0 pts | 58 | Confirmed move |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 4% | +1.3 pts | 62 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.