ProbCastOdds Reliability
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?27%▲7.5Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?54%▼21.8All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?3%▼46.6Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?5%▼7.3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?0%▼7.02026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House54%▲4.0Will there be another HuggingFace like public incident (of the same scale) before Sep 2027?96%▲29.7Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?6%▼1.0Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?52%▲3.0Will AI solve another Millennium Prize Problem (besides Navier–Stokes) before September 15, 2027?30%▼42.7Will 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH again more than 267.8431 USDC Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC14%▲11.1Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?92%▼1.2Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?12%▲2.5Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?9%▲2.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?23%▲3.8OpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?6%▼35.1

Event · resolves around 2026-09-30

Just Russia — election · Sep 2026

5 related contracts across Polymarket · $345.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Polymarket0%0.0 pts91Developing
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Polymarket80%+1.0 pts87Developing
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Polymarket0%+0.1 pts88Developing
Trump out as President by September 30?Polymarket1%+0.1 pts67Developing
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Polymarket16%-1.0 pts64Developing

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