Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
- Resolution source
- binance.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 13, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 13, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 9m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 13 '26 12…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: binance.com
Market data
24h volume
$87.7K
Liquidity
$12K
Total volume
$88.6K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 0.1%
- 7-day range
- 0.1% – 12.7%
- Resolves
- Sep 13, 2026
- Resolution
- binance.com