ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?25%▼16.7Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?42%▼11.0Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?14%▼8.5Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?37%▲0.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39%▲3.3Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?1%▼83.7US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?63%▼5.8Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44%▼7.0Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?16%▼79.3Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?36%▲11.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?55%▲6.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?6%▼7.6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?31%▼2.0Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?18%▼0.1Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?8%▼11.1Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?4%▼3.6
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?25%▼16.7Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?42%▼11.0Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?14%▼8.5Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?37%▲0.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39%▲3.3Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?1%▼83.7US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?63%▼5.8Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44%▼7.0Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?16%▼79.3Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?36%▲11.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?55%▲6.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?6%▼7.6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?31%▼2.0Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?18%▼0.1Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?8%▼11.1Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?4%▼3.6
Home/Macro / Fed/Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 46m ago

Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29?

Last traded probability
100.0%
+38.5 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
100.0%
Event deadline
August 29, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
Venue status
closed
Resolution source
bundesliga.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 29, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 29, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 29, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If SV 07 Elversberg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If SV 07 Elversberg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: bundesliga.com

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

19/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity88

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?

0%YESTrust 22
Polymarket$224.3K 24h

Ethereum Up or Down on August 29?

0%YESTrust 23
Polymarket$75.5K 24h

Will Eth price hit 2.5k dollars by 30 aug ?

28%YESTrust 1
ManifoldṀ133 24h
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
46m ago

Market data

24h volume

$514.7K

Liquidity

$533.8K

Total volume

$515.1K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
61.5% – 100.0%
Resolves
Aug 29, 2026
Resolution
bundesliga.com

Trust breakdown

19/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+62
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score19 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

31%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$20.3K 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

9%YESTrust 0
Kalshi$267.3 24h

Ethereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

31%YESTrust 4
Kalshi$60 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]