ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?100%▲61.4Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?33%▼23.0Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?100%▲37.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51%▼4.0Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?97%▲11.0Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?13%▼82.4Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?73%▼1.0Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?11%▼3.5Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?1%▼84.7Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?10%▼13.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?47%▲1.0Erling Haaland maintain crew cut until Christmas?48%▲11.2US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?61%▼4.9Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?37%▲7.0Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?7%▼47.6Will Barron Trump enter politics?26%▼15.8
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?100%▲61.4Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?33%▼23.0Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?100%▲37.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51%▼4.0Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?97%▲11.0Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?13%▼82.4Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?73%▼1.0Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?11%▼3.5Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?1%▼84.7Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?10%▼13.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?47%▲1.0Erling Haaland maintain crew cut until Christmas?48%▲11.2US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?61%▼4.9Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?37%▲7.0Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?7%▼47.6Will Barron Trump enter politics?26%▼15.8
Home/Macro / Fed/Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-29?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 59m ago

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-29?

Last traded probability
11.8%
-41.8 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
11.8%
Event deadline
August 29, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET
Venue status
closed
Resolution source
mlssoccer.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-29? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 11.8%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 30, 2026 at 12:37 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 30, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 29, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If Portland Timbers wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If Portland Timbers wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: mlssoccer.com

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

0/ 100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity67

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?

1%YESTrust 39
Polymarket$94.7K 24h

Will I miss my connecting flight due to EES?

16%YESTrust 23
ManifoldṀ153.8 24h

Will Daniel Tello remain in Masters after Season 40?

9%YESTrust 26
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
59m ago

Market data

24h volume

$79.9K

Liquidity

$16.8K

Total volume

$80.2K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
4.7 pts
Best bid
9.4%
Best ask
14.1%
7-day range
5.5% – 53.5%
Resolves
Aug 29, 2026
Resolution
mlssoccer.com

Trust breakdown

0/100 · Low

Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+47
  • Price steadiness+0
  • Thin liquidity-20
  • Wide spread-15
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
  • Big move, weak support-10
Trust score0 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Manifold
Ṁ45.2 24h

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?

69%YESTrust 27
Polymarket$48.3K 24h

Will BTC Price hit 80k in 30 Aug ?

15%YESTrust 5
ManifoldṀ226.4 24h

Will Chad remain in Masters after Season 40?

94%YESTrust 6
ManifoldṀ25 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]