Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
No meaningful repricing — the probability is steady.
The pricing is supported by healthy trading volume and market depth, a tight spread.
How credible was the move?
Three separate questions — a move can be genuine while the latest price is still settling. Methodology →
Move validity
Is the move backed by real trading and depth?
StrongThe pricing is supported by healthy trading volume and market depth, a tight spread.
Consensus stability
Has the market settled at the new probability?
StableThe probability has held near its current level over the past several hours.
Contract clarity
Will the rules resolve without ambiguity?
HighThe resolution rules are relatively specific, with a named source and a defined deadline.
From the latest trade tape (most recent 200 prints) — a live activity sample, not a lifetime total.
What this market actually measures
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Legacy and MIBR in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against MIBR.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Legacy and MIBR in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution source: hltv.org
What could move this market next?
- The scheduled event takes placeAugust 16, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET
The contract resolves on the event's outcome.
- Confirmation at the resolution source (hltv.org)
The rules name this source as the basis for settlement.
Derived from the contract's own mechanics as of Aug 16, 5:42 PM ET. ProbCast does not list scheduled meetings, announcements, or data releases it cannot verify.
Advanced analysis (experimental)
Research signals — these models are still accumulating the history needed for full validation, and they can disagree with the headline read. Model confidence: high · expected error ±9 pts.
What's happening
Near resolution or with ambiguous wording, pricing is mechanically thin and can swing on tiny trades. Read end-of-life prices with extra caution.
Market data
24h volume
$728.3K