Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?75%20.3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?37%5.0Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14?84%12.0Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?31%7.0Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?1%7.1Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?100%29.4Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?16%6.3Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?55%13.6Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?42%14.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?83%6.3Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?45%10.0Will 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH again more than 267.8431 USDC Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC38%22.1Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2%0.7Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?19%2.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?26%3.0Will Eliezer approve of Yuddish?31%23.9
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 7h ago

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
September 14, 2026 at 12:45 AM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
data.chain.link

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
September 14, 2026 at 12:51 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 14, 2026 at 7:27 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 14, 2026 at 12:45 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
7h ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Resolution source: data.chain.link

Market data

24h volume

$83.8K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$0

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
1.0 pts
Best bid
99.0%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Sep 14, 2026
Resolution
data.chain.link

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