LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?80%54.0LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?23%11.5LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?95%46.9Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?68%23.0Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?27%9.0LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?98%1.7LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?92%18.0Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?20%7.2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?57%4.5Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?54%14.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10?3%3.2Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)6%1.9Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?61%33.5Will Trump give American adults $5000 each if the republicans win the midterms11%27.7Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE)80%56.9Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?46%1.0
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 2h ago

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
September 10, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
data.chain.link

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
September 10, 2026 at 3:13 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 10, 2026 at 5:17 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 10, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
2h ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Resolution source: data.chain.link

Market data

24h volume

$96.3K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$0

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Sep 10, 2026
Resolution
data.chain.link

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