Will Trump give American adults $5000 each if the republicans win the midterms

Resolved YES if trump successfully distributes $5k to all American adults or meaningfully succeeds. For example, not literally every adult needs to receive the money, provided a majority do and reasonably “everyone” is eligible. Resolves N/A if republicans don’t win at least 50 senate seats and a house majority Resolves NO if no such dividend occurs before the next election (2028) Update 2026-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market can resolve YES even if large subcategories of people are excluded from the dividend. Acceptable exclusions include restricting eligibility to: Taxpayers American-born citizens Resolution will focus on whether there is a serious attempt or success at a dividend, rather than comprehensive coverage. Update 2026-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - To resolve YES, it must be unambiguous that more than 50% of American adults received the money. If there is any ambiguity, the market will resolve NO. Specific exclusions of entire states will result in a NO resolution. Update 2026-10-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A lifetime tax credit available to all Americans will resolve YES. Tax discounts or credits restricted to net taxpayers will resolve NO if they fail to reach a majority (>50%) of American adults.