Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?51%11.5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?11%25.0Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?75%6.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?83%4.6Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?96%14.8Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?34%14.5All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?19%22.5Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?22%4.3Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?4%8.8LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?13%2.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14%6.9So uhhh21%1.4Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?72%1.5Will bitcoin go below 9.000$ at the end of this month?5%44.8Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?21%3.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85%7.0
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 19h ago

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?

Final price
0.0%
-28.5 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.

Final market price
0.0%
Event deadline
September 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
binance.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.

Market data as of
September 8, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 9, 2026 at 7:13 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
19h ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 8 '26 12:00 …

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution source: binance.com

Market data

24h volume

$301.7K

Liquidity

$0

Total volume

$307.8K

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.0%
Best ask
0.1%
7-day range
0.0% – 28.5%
Recent unique traders
62
Resolves
Sep 8, 2026
Resolution
binance.com

Related markets