Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Final market price
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Market data as of
- October 5, 2026 at 3:31 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 16d ago
What this market actually measures
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).