ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 87d ago
Someone snapped her fingers at me today. Don't remember last time it happened. Will she "snap" at me before July 4th?
Final price
54.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Final market price
- 54.8%
- Event deadline
- July 3, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 54.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 54.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Someone snapped her fingers at me today. Don't remember last time it happened. Will she "snap" at me before July 4th? The final Manifold price was 54.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Market data as of
- June 9, 2026 at 9:46 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 3, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 87d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ13.3
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 54.8%
- Resolves
- Jul 3, 2026
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