Israel closes its airspace by September 30?70%60.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?50%9.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?34%15.5Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?24%10.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?12%6.5Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%15.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%10.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?49%14.0Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?65%4.0Did Claude just solve navier stokes??20%5.4Fed rate hike in 2026?72%10.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?11%6.0Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?86%21.0Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?50%8.0Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?93%4.6Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?4%3.8
ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 86d ago

Best gif competition : Däilÿ Cöin Flip - Day 416

Final price
50.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.2%.

Final market price
50.2%
Event deadline
June 7, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Best gif competition : Däilÿ Cöin Flip - Day 416 The final Manifold price was 50.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.2%.

Market data as of
June 10, 2026 at 10:09 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 7, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
86d ago

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ266.5

Liquidity

Ṁ10.5K

Total volume

Ṁ216.6

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
50.2%
Resolves
Jun 7, 2026

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