US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?39%0.4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?92%10.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?89%11.0Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?18%5.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?67%5.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?81%5.0Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?21%4.8US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?80%8.0Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?12%8.5Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?56%27.0Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)?94%41.2Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?14%2.0El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms?7%13.3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%2.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?45%4.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?57%4.0

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Ethereum price at Aug 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT — 7.0% probability | ProbCast