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This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 13.0%.
Ethereum price at Aug 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT? The final Kalshi price was 13.0%. This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 13.0%.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 3 PM EDT is between 1930-1934.99 at 3 PM EDT on Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 3 PM EDT is between 1930-1934.99 at 3 PM EDT on Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution source: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERT…
24h volume
$155
Liquidity
$0
Total volume
$155
Weakly supported. Treat this number skeptically. Main caveat: past deadline.
Low resolution risk: clear source, threshold, and deadline leave little room for ambiguity.
How clear the contract wording is — separate from whether the price is trustworthy.
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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
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