Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?98%11.4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?93%9.5US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?90%10.0Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?16%9.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?14%4.0Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?80%20.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?45%3.0Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?18%3.1S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?76%13.5Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?56%2.0Will an LLM started by AI safety researchers successfully create and launch an Internet worm or virus by Sept 1, 2027?33%16.7US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?77%4.5Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?40%20.6Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?11%9.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?61%0.5Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?60%4.0

Loading dashboard…

Ethereum price at Aug 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 37.0% probability | ProbCast