Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?22%4.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?41%4.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?6%4.4Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?49%3.5Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?1%7.9Will an AI do Magic before EOY 2027? [See description]18%22.3Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?67%6.0Will AI progress slow down before July 2027 due to an agreement to 'pace the frontier'?22%10.5F1 2026 Spanish GP (Madrid): Will any driver use intermediate or wet tyres?3%47.0Will there be a bald US president before February 2049?36%14.0OpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?11%38.9US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?23%2.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?68%4.1US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?13%2.5Ethereum price at Sep 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?85%35.5Is Digger (2026) a musical?5%33.6

Event · resolves around 2026-10-31

Fed Rate Hike — rate decision · Oct 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $70.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Polymarket82%0.0 pts79Developing
🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?Manifold33%-7.5 pts17Developing

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