Event · resolves around 2026-10-31
Fed Rate Hike — rate decision · Oct 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $70.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Polymarket | 82% | 0.0 pts | 79 | Developing |
| 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026? | Manifold | 33% | -7.5 pts | 17 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.