Event · resolves around 2028-01-01
Variational FDV — price targets · Jan 2028
3 related contracts across Polymarket · $178K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 67% | 0.0 pts | 72 | Confirmed move |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Polymarket | 78% | -3.0 pts | 38 | Developing |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Polymarket | 38% | +1.7 pts | 41 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.