ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?81%▲15.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18%▼16.0Fed rate hike in 2026?91%▲13.0Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?82%▲17.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?17%▼15.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?38%▼6.0Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?70%▼10.0Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?74%▼8.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?59%▼24.8Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?69%▲5.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?25%▼4.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?21%▲6.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?35%▲4.5Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?33%▲5.0Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?6%▼9.7Will the recorded US measles cases reach or exceed 3,500 cases in today's update?22%▼25.8

Event · resolves around 2026-09-12

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $207.1K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?Polymarket17%-15.0 pts27Likely noise
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 12?Polymarket2%+0.6 pts61Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.