ProbCastOdds Reliability
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?0%▼49.4LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?100%▲26.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?98%▲65.8Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?36%▼10.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?65%▲12.0LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?0%▼12.4LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?100%▲14.5Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55%▲8.6LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?100%▲6.5Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?76%▲55.8Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?5%▲3.6Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?83%▲5.5Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?65%▲11.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44%▼9.0Fed rate hike in 2026?78%▲4.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?43%▼10.0

Event · resolves around 2026-09-11

Bitcoin — price targets · Sep 2026

4 related contracts across Polymarket · $297.7K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?Polymarket6%+1.0 pts60Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?Polymarket96%-0.3 pts61Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?Polymarket79%-0.7 pts55Confirmed move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?Polymarket100%-0.1 pts66Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.