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Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?29%▼31.5Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?79%▲11.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51%▼5.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?71%▲7.0Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?99%▲15.4Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?8%▼17.0Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?1%▼84.7Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?19%▼76.8Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?33%▲7.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?61%▼5.2Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?7%▼47.6Person alive now becomes functionally immortal33%▼33.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?47%▲3.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41%▲3.0Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?1%▼4.0Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?90%▲1.0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?29%▼31.5Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?79%▲11.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51%▼5.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?71%▲7.0Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?99%▲15.4Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?8%▼17.0Will Tadej Pogacar hold the red jersey for the entire 2026 Vuelta a Espana?1%▼84.7Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?19%▼76.8Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?33%▲7.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?61%▼5.2Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?7%▼47.6Person alive now becomes functionally immortal33%▼33.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?47%▲3.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41%▲3.0Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?1%▼4.0Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?90%▲1.0

Event · resolves around 2026-08-30

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

5 related contracts across Polymarket · $259.7K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30?PolymarketCrypto3%+0.8 pts$66.5K7958Confirmed move
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30?PolymarketCrypto100%+0.2 pts$54.4K7965Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 30?PolymarketCrypto99%+0.4 pts$51.6K7963Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 30?PolymarketCrypto0%-0.2 pts$44.5K7845Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?PolymarketCrypto71%+7.0 pts$42.6K766Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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