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US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?17%▼8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?87%▲7.8US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?20%▼9.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?24%▼10.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?42%▲16.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?56%▲13.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?41%▼15.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?18%▼21.2Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?70%▲8.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?83%▲20.5Fed rate hike in 2026?48%▼5.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?31%▼7.0Will OpenAI make Astra publicly available by October 15, 2026?18%▼47.6Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?20%▼1.0Выйдет ли Subtransit Drive в сентябре9%▼40.9Will there be another tweet on official AI Digest twitter about the Claude Opus 4.6 Bayesian Loan incident in next 10d?22%▼63.4
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?17%▼8.0Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?87%▲7.8US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?20%▼9.0Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?24%▼10.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?42%▲16.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?56%▲13.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?41%▼15.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?18%▼21.2Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?70%▲8.0Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?83%▲20.5Fed rate hike in 2026?48%▼5.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?31%▼7.0Will OpenAI make Astra publicly available by October 15, 2026?18%▼47.6Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?20%▼1.0Выйдет ли Subtransit Drive в сентябре9%▼40.9Will there be another tweet on official AI Digest twitter about the Claude Opus 4.6 Bayesian Loan incident in next 10d?22%▼63.4

Event · resolves around 2026-08-15

Bitcoin — price targets · Aug 2026

6 related contracts across Polymarket · $391K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?PolymarketCrypto97%+0.4 pts$88.6K7963Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15?PolymarketCrypto99%-0.1 pts$64.4K7865Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 15?PolymarketCrypto0%0.0 pts$63.4K8068Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 15?PolymarketCrypto0%0.0 pts$60.9K7865Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15?PolymarketCrypto1%+0.3 pts$57.7K7862Developing
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 15?PolymarketCrypto100%0.0 pts$55.9K7847Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

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