Event · resolves around 2026-08-14
Price targets · Aug 2026
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| S&P 500 closes above $7,800 at end of week? | Manifold | 41% | -0.9 pts | 21 | Developing |
| S&P 500 closes above $7,800 on August 14? | Manifold | 40% | -1.9 pts | 11 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.