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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?66%▲32.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?21%▼17.0 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?3%▼9.1 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?96%▲8.9 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39%▲3.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?68%▼7.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?3%▼13.7 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼4.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?99%▲4.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?56%▲26.3 Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?22%▼27.5 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?4%▲1.5 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?2%▼4.7 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?94%▲3.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?99%▲5.5 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?27%▲3.0

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?66%▲32.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?21%▼17.0 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?3%▼9.1 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?96%▲8.9 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39%▲3.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?68%▼7.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?3%▼13.7 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼4.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?99%▲4.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?56%▲26.3 Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?22%▼27.5 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?4%▲1.5 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?2%▼4.7 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?94%▲3.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?99%▲5.5 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?27%▲3.0

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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?66%▲32.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?21%▼17.0 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?3%▼9.1 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?96%▲8.9 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39%▲3.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?68%▼7.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?3%▼13.7 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼4.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?99%▲4.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?56%▲26.3 Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?22%▼27.5 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?4%▲1.5 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?2%▼4.7 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?94%▲3.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?99%▲5.5 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?27%▲3.0

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?66%▲32.4 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?21%▼17.0 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?3%▼9.1 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?96%▲8.9 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39%▲3.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?68%▼7.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?3%▼13.7 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼4.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?99%▲4.2 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?56%▲26.3 Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?22%▼27.5 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?4%▲1.5 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?2%▼4.7 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?94%▲3.0 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?99%▲5.5 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?27%▲3.0

Event · resolves around 2026-07-30

Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2026

3 related contracts across Polymarket · $562.2K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+0.1 pts	$254.5K	83	70	Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	+1.0 pts	$158.7K	82	66	Developing
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?	Polymarket	Crypto	99%	+5.5 pts	$149.1K	81	52	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.