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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?40%▼12.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?62%▲20.3 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼12.4 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?14%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?54%▼5.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?58%▼7.1 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼1.0 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]15%▲2.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?12%▼2.0 On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?63%▲23.4 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?55%▲12.9 Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?83%▲33.4 Will front-month ICE Brent settle ≥ $100 on 5 Aug 2026?31%▼8.3 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?25%▲1.4 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?9%▼5.0 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202632%▼17.8 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?40%▼12.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?62%▲20.3 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼12.4 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?14%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?54%▼5.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?58%▼7.1 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼1.0 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]15%▲2.5 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?12%▼2.0 On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?63%▲23.4 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?55%▲12.9 Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?83%▲33.4 Will front-month ICE Brent settle ≥ $100 on 5 Aug 2026?31%▼8.3 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?25%▲1.4 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?9%▼5.0 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202632%▼17.8

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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?40%▼12.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?62%▲20.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼13.4 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?58%▼7.1 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼1.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?54%▼4.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?12%▼2.0 On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?63%▲23.4 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?55%▲12.9 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?25%▲1.0 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?9%▼5.0 Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?83%▲33.4 Will front-month ICE Brent settle ≥ $100 on 5 Aug 2026?31%▼8.3 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?37%▼1.0 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202632%▼17.8 Will I get a higher grade than קרני at חדוא 243%▼33.9 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?40%▼12.0 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?62%▲20.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼13.4 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?58%▼7.1 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼1.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?54%▼4.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?12%▼2.0 On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?63%▲23.4 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?55%▲12.9 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?25%▲1.0 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?9%▼5.0 Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?83%▲33.4 Will front-month ICE Brent settle ≥ $100 on 5 Aug 2026?31%▼8.3 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?37%▼1.0 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202632%▼17.8 Will I get a higher grade than קרני at חדוא 243%▼33.9

Event · resolves around 2026-07-24

Bitcoin — price targets · Jul 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $150.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?	Polymarket	Crypto	100%	0.0 pts	$150.8K	81	69	Worth watching
Silver below $50/ oz by close on Friday?	Manifold	Macro / Fed	8%	0.0 pts	Ṁ4.5K	56	24	Worth watching

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.