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US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?100%▲62.5 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%▼3.6 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?22%▼32.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?7%▼29.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?66%▲42.2 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?23%▲4.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?14%▲9.5 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?96%▲8.0 Will "The Odyssey" surpass "Deadpool & Wolverine" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?56%▼23.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?3%▲2.0 are bananas really yellow?97%▲46.8 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?25%▲5.0 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?85%▲4.9 is the sun hotter than the moon?99%▲49.0 Is Pluto officially classified as a planet?1%▼49.0 are apples human made?1%▼49.0

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?100%▲62.5 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%▼3.6 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?22%▼32.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?7%▼29.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?66%▲42.2 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?23%▲4.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?14%▲9.5 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?96%▲8.0 Will "The Odyssey" surpass "Deadpool & Wolverine" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?56%▼23.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?3%▲2.0 are bananas really yellow?97%▲46.8 Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?25%▲5.0 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?85%▲4.9 is the sun hotter than the moon?99%▲49.0 Is Pluto officially classified as a planet?1%▼49.0 are apples human made?1%▼49.0

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Hot Markets

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?100%▲62.5 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%▼3.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?22%▼32.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?67%▲42.9 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?23%▲3.6 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?7%▼29.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?14%▲9.5 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?96%▲8.0 Will "The Odyssey" surpass "Deadpool & Wolverine" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?56%▼23.0 are bananas really yellow?97%▲46.8 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?85%▲4.9 is the sun hotter than the moon?99%▲49.0 Is Pluto officially classified as a planet?1%▼49.0 are apples human made?1%▼49.0 Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Dec 31 2027?24%▼15.7 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?2%▼4.2

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?100%▲62.5 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%▼3.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?22%▼32.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?67%▲42.9 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?23%▲3.6 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?7%▼29.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?14%▲9.5 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?96%▲8.0 Will "The Odyssey" surpass "Deadpool & Wolverine" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?56%▼23.0 are bananas really yellow?97%▲46.8 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?85%▲4.9 is the sun hotter than the moon?99%▲49.0 Is Pluto officially classified as a planet?1%▼49.0 are apples human made?1%▼49.0 Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Dec 31 2027?24%▼15.7 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?2%▼4.2

Event · resolves around 2027-05-30

Manchester City — election · May 2027

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $581K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Polymarket	Politics	30%	0.0 pts	$296.6K	76	68	Developing
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Polymarket	Politics	0%	0.0 pts	$284.4K	83	80	Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.