Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?90%16.0Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?10%15.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?91%5.0Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?20%8.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?73%12.5Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?83%11.2Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?43%39.6Opus 5.2 released in September?12%17.2Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 21th 11:59 pm UTC85%21.3Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?72%5.0Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 18–20)?4%83.8Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?55%24.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?11%3.5US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?84%8.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?81%4.0Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?48%0.5

Event · resolves around 2027-04-30

Fran — election · Apr 2027

3 related contracts across Polymarket · $156K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket0%0.0 pts87Developing
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket5%-1.0 pts65Developing
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket37%-1.0 pts65Developing

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