Event · resolves around 2026-11-03
Balance — election · Nov 2026
3 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $50.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Polymarket | 13% | -2.0 pts | 83 | Developing |
| Will the mail-in ballot restriction go into effect for the 2026 election? | Manifold | 34% | -16.1 pts | 0 | Likely noise |
| Will California elect a Republican governor in 2026? | Manifold | 4% | -0.2 pts | 48 | Developing |
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