ProbCast.coOdds Reliability

Event · resolves around 2026-11-03

Colorado Amendment — election · Nov 2026

13 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will Colorado Amendment 84 (ID requirement for mail ballots) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money59%-2.0 pts50Developing
Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?ManifoldPlay money71%+0.9 pts51Developing
Will the Denver, CO ballot measure, Prohibit Force Feeding Birds and Sale of Foie Gras pass in the November Election?ManifoldPlay money69%+7.2 pts35Developing
Will Washington DC Initiative 86, Prohibit Force Feeding Birds and Sale of Foie Gras, pass in the November Election?ManifoldPlay money84%+4.3 pts40Developing
Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?ManifoldPlay money61%-0.9 pts48Developing
Will Maryland Question 2 (temporary judicial disabilities panel seats) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money82%+6.5 pts37Developing
Republicans win Texas governor by 6+ points?ManifoldPlay money21%+0.4 pts47Developing
Will Wisconsin Question 2 (no emergency closures of places of worship) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money80%+3.2 pts40Developing
Will Colorado Amendment 82 (constitutional right to natural gas) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money34%-6.0 pts38Developing
Will Idaho Proposition 1 (reproductive freedom and privacy act) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money28%+4.6 pts40Developing
Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?ManifoldPlay money75%-6.0 pts31Developing
Will Virginia Question 1 (right to reproductive freedom) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money93%+1.0 pts44Developing
Will Colorado Proposition 135 (prohibiting certain surgeries on minors) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?ManifoldPlay money41%+6.0 pts35Developing

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.