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Event · resolves around 2026-11-03
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $473K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Market | Venue | Prob | Δ 24h | Trust | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 84 | Worth watching |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 84 | Worth watching |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.