ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?38%▼8.0Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?56%▲34.0Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?43%▼39.5Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?67%▼10.5Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?16%▼44.1Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?92%▲11.0US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?44%▼5.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?14%▲4.5Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?12%▲3.0Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93%▲2.0Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?81%▲7.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?92%▼3.0Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?53%▲2.3Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 18–20)?4%▼83.5US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?82%▼3.0Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8%▼3.0

Event · resolves around 2026-10-20

Democrats — election · Oct 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $81.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Polymarket55%0.0 pts57Developing
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Polymarket61%0.0 pts54Developing

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