ProbCastOdds Reliability
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?82%▲0.0Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?16%▼1.3Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?50%▲3.0Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?62%▼7.5Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?25%▼2.0Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?6%▼48.8Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?8%▲1.2Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?37%▼16.5Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?82%▲1.0Opus 5.2 released in September?35%▼12.5Anthropic IPO in October?4%▼49.9Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?71%▲4.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?55%▼3.8Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?10%▼3.0Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 18–20)?69%▼19.6Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?7%▼1.0

Event · resolves around 2026-10-19

Democrats — election · Oct 2026

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $87.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Polymarket55%0.0 pts55Developing
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Polymarket20%0.0 pts38Developing

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