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Event · resolves around 2026-09-01
3 related contracts across Polymarket and Kalshi · $1.4M traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 73 | Developing |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Polymarket | 100% | 0.0 pts | 67 | Developing |
| Will the President be impeached before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | 0.0 pts | 32 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.