Event · resolves around 2027-04-01
Donald Trump — awards · Apr 2027
4 related contracts across Polymarket · $185.2K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Polymarket | 2% | -0.5 pts | 88 | Developing |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 59 | Developing |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 58 | Developing |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 57 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.