Event · resolves around 2027-12-31
Falcon — event · Dec 2027
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Falcon launch more times in 2027 than 2026? | Manifold | 44% | +4.1 pts | 20 | Developing |
| Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2027 | Manifold | 33% | -1.4 pts | 35 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.