Event · resolves around 2027-07-31
FRONTIER AI Act — event · Jul 2027
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the FRONTIER AI Act pass by July 2027? | Manifold | 14% | -29.0 pts | 0 | Likely noise |
| Will OpenAI release a fully autonomous AI agent product before July 2027? | Manifold | 80% | +4.6 pts | 13 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.