Israel closes its airspace by September 30?68%59.5Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?34%15.0Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?87%18.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%11.0Did Claude just solve navier stokes??22%8.2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%10.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?21%2.5Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?49%15.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%18.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?9%6.5Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?8%2.0Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033?29%4.1🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?47%32.7Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?7%0.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?18%1.0Will GPT-7 destroy the world?1%8.1

Event · resolves around 2026-09-30

SpaceX Crew- — event · Sep 2026

2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026?Manifold22%-17.2 pts8Likely noise
Will deepseek v5 release in september 2026?Manifold11%0.0 pts24Developing

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