Event · resolves around 2026-09-30
SpaceX Crew- — event · Sep 2026
2 related contracts across Manifold. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026? | Manifold | 22% | -17.2 pts | 8 | Likely noise |
| Will deepseek v5 release in september 2026? | Manifold | 11% | 0.0 pts | 24 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.