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Currently 55% YES, up 2.0 pts over 24h — ProbCast reads this as a meaningful, liquidity-backed move (Trust 72/100).
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
From the latest trade tape (most recent 200 prints) — a live activity sample, not a lifetime total.
Liquid, two-sided, and calm. The current price reads as settled consensus — the latest print is a reasonable summary of what the market believes.
Read the latest price with caution; conditions make it an unreliable summary right now.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Short-term motion of the price line (~1h), distinct from the environment above — not a prediction of the final outcome.
Secondary read: leaning toward Resolving soon.
A read-only classification of the market environment — how much weight the current price deserves as a read of consensus. It describes conditions, never a trade.
Magnitude of recent probability change
Depth of the order book and volume
Reasonably supported. Generally reliable, with minor caveats. Main caveat: limited history.
Low resolution risk, driven mainly by no threshold or deadline.
How clear the contract wording is — separate from whether the price is trustworthy.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.
Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
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