US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?41%25.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?84%20.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?98%18.0Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%6.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?20%4.8Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?78%5.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?56%4.0Will twitter / x.com be open source before September?27%12.7Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?14%4.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?26%2.5Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?1%2.8Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?59%8.9Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]46%17.4Will the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028?39%10.6With Khan voted out, will Keir Starmer be the next ICC chief prosecutor?7%23.4AOC will be first female POTUS?18%7.3US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?41%25.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?84%20.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?98%18.0Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?25%6.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?20%4.8Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?78%5.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?56%4.0Will twitter / x.com be open source before September?27%12.7Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?14%4.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?26%2.5Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?1%2.8Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?59%8.9Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]46%17.4Will the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028?39%10.6With Khan voted out, will Keir Starmer be the next ICC chief prosecutor?7%23.4AOC will be first female POTUS?18%7.3

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