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PolymarketPoliticsUpdated 9m ago

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

Last traded probability
0.1%
-1.2 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
0.1%
Event deadline
September 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Venue status
open

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
September 9, 2026 at 1:26 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 9, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
9m ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market data

24h volume

$61.4K

Liquidity

$42.9K

Total volume

$159.6K

Category
Politics
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.1%
7-day range
0.1% – 1.3%
Resolves
Sep 7, 2026