Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- August 8, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 9, 2026 at 4:26 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 9, 2026 at 4:37 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 8, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 10m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market data
24h volume
$44.8K
Liquidity
$27.4K
Total volume
$58.9K
- Category
- Politics