Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.3%
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.3%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 18, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 6m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.